Thursday, June 12, 2025

Science for Sale: The Crisis of Credibility

I am as much of a secular rationalist as they come. Once I learned about the scientific method in middle school, I saw it as the most trustworthy tool humans have for understanding the world; something solid that stood in place of unquestioning faith and, hitherto, the best tool for us to navigate reality. While that all may be true in the physical sciences, the unfortunate reality is that we are not at such a place in the realm of social psychology. My disenchantment with academia began in college, during my pursuit of a career in research psychology, as I discovered it surpasses even corporate America in its politics, nepotism, and dishonesty.

Psychological research, particularly social psychology research, is often ineffective and unreliable due to weak statistical standards, a replication crisis, cultural pressures like "publish or perish," and deeper methodological flaws. Capitalism, not rationalism, primarily drives which research gets done and why. Money and ego undermine the very fabric of the scientific method, making it nearly impossible to conduct impartial research within any academic institution. Research is often published not for the sake of understanding the world, but to serve the needs of capital. The consequences have included the widespread dissemination of misleading findings, the marginalization of important but unprofitable lines of inquiry, and the reinforcement of existing power structures. Studies that might challenge dominant economic or social paradigms are underfunded or ignored, while research that aligns with the interests of industry, tech, or pharmaceutical giants is prioritized. This results in a distorted intellectual landscape where knowledge is commodified and public trust in science erodes. Over time, the ideal of science as an objective, truth-seeking endeavor is replaced by a performative shell that mirrors the market forces it is supposed to critically examine.  
 
For this reason, I have a great deal of compassion for the “do your own research" crowd even while wholeheartedly disagreeing with them. The layman should not have to navigate multiple paywalled scientific journals to come to their own conclusions.

In the hard sciences of physics, biology, and chemistry, hypothesis testing often requires a p-value of 0.01 or lower to claim statistical significance (
A p-value is a statistical measurement of the probability that the results of a study occurred by random chance. A p-value of means there is only a 1% probability that researcher landed on their findings by random chance.). However, in the social sciences, a p-value of 0.05 is the norm, meaning 1 in 20 "significant" findings could simply be random chance. As a result, a neuroscience lab (which for all intents and purposes IS biochemistry), you have a much lower burden of proof to demonstrate your findings than the biochem lab. In fact, something that nobody in your university’s Psychology Department will tell you is that many research labs prefer biochem degree holders over those in their own programs! 

The p-value of 0.05 was first introduced by Ronald Fisher in his 1925 book Statistical Methods for Research Workers. He suggested it as a convenient cutoff, but he never intended it to become a hard rule. He described it as a flexible guideline for when an experimental result might warrant further investigation. Over time, what became a suggestion for what might be publishable, became instead a hard rule of what demonstrates statistical significance. Psychology academics enshrined and adopted this methodology during a period when the field was desperately trying to be seen as a "hard science” - otherwise very few academics would have had anything worth publishing. 

This issue becomes more problematic when you compound that in 2008, an event known as the Replication Crisis occurred. In a landmark effort, a large team of researchers called the Open Science Collaboration attempted to replicate 100 published psychology studies from top journals. These studies mostly came from the fields of social psychology and cognitive psychology. While 97% of the original studies had reported statistically significant results, only about 36% of the replications produced statistically significant results. The effect sizes for these studies (the strength of the findings) were, on average, about half as large in the replications, with many replicated results were weaker, inconsistent, or with the effect outright disappeared. This crisis included work by a researcher you might be familiar with, Amy Cuddy who went viral with her Ted Talk on doing power poses in front of the mirror to increase confidence. 

I want to point out that groups like The Open Science Collaboration may exist to challenge the exact issue I am describing; they are still entangled in the same ecosystem as everyone else. Their funding sources include the US federal government and a Mark Zuckerburg 501c. If a study seriously undermined a major funder's interests, it’s plausible that the OSC would deprioritize it, slow-walk its dissemination, or fail to champion it. Not from malice, but from institutional survival instinct. This is the very paradox that the OSC tries to solve, but also cannot fully escape under capitalist conditions.

In Amy Cuddy’s case, the issue with her research was more than just that of replication. She was found to have used “questionable research practices” (QRPs) meaning she cherry-picked data to achieve statistical significance while ignoring results that didn't fit her narrative. I first heard about this situation in Devon Price’s book Unlearning Shame. In his book, Price explains how he was taught to use QRPs during his own upper-grad research training. I would argue that the fact that these methods are called "questionable research practices" instead of something more definite such as lying, cheating, or fraud says everything that a layperson needs to know about how research is conducted in the field of psychology.

Price writes that Questionable Research Protocols are a systemic problem. He recounts the history of the replication crisis, where it came to light that, and that frankly, many psychological researchers were just "making shit up." I don't know where Price earned his degrees, but as an undergraduate, I was required to take a full year of 200-level statistics and research methods courses before I could even enroll in upper-level psychology courses. Perhaps a dose of shame for a doctoral student not understanding basic statistical methodology isn’t entirely unhealthy.

This problem extends to popular science. Many books, including those by PhD holders like Judson Brewer (Unwinding Anxiety), the above Unlearning Shame, or authors like Malcolm Gladwell (Blink), often state that a single study has "proven" a hypothesis. This is something I was taught never to do in my 200-level classes. These are not necessarily bad books, but the way these authors discuss their findings is a product of the academic culture they inhabit; a culture they, in turn, help perpetuate. If there is no room for genuinely critical minds in psychological research, and if researchers who try to do the right thing are dragged down by their peers, what is the point? 

In fact, there are examples of researchers outside of psych who were outright shunned for findings that we now accept to be true. Take for example Dr. Kilmer McCully, a Harvard-trained physician and researcher. In the late 1960s, McCully published research suggesting that elevated levels of the amino acid homocysteine, not just cholesterol, could lead to cardiovascular disease. This was a departure from the prevailing cholesterol-centric view of heart disease at the time. His research was not well received by the medical establishment. Harvard-affiliated Massachusetts General Hospital, where he was employed, did not renew his research grant, and he was forced to leave his position, costing him any chance at tenure. McCully eventually found a position at the Veterans Affairs Medical Center in Providence where he continued his research. Over time, subsequent studies validated his findings. Today, the role of homocysteine in cardiovascular health is widely acknowledged with McCully credited as pioneering this field of study.

Nevertheless, there was a systemic attempt to stop his research for daring to use the scientific method for its intended purpose: to pursue truth, regardless of political or institutional consequences. his brings me to some open questions in relation to Price's work on shame. At what point should the gatekeepers of such a system feel genuine shame? When does their complicity demand more than a quiet retraction or a pivot to a new grant cycle? What would it mean for them to truly rectify the damage: intellectually, ethically, even personally before they allow themselves the luxury of moving on or forgiving themselves?

More pressingly: if data is being manipulated to fit agendas, if replication is avoided because the incentives reward novelty over reliability, and if entire academic careers are built on shaky, unreplicated findings, then are we actually advancing knowledge at all? Or are we just creating an elaborate theater of credibility? At what point can we even say strides are being made in social psychology, or are we simply becoming more efficient at justifying our own biases in increasingly scientific-sounding ways? If this is how people want to operate, what is the point of anything at all? Do words even have meaning? I’m genuinely sincere in these questions.

Imagine we could travel back 2,500 years and converse with Plato, Aristotle, or Socrates. If we tried to explain modern physics: quantum mechanics, relativity, germ theory, or even basic chemistry - they would likely be bewildered. These concepts would be completely foreign to them, built on centuries of empirical discovery, mathematical modeling, and experimental replication that simply didn’t exist in their time. But if we shifted the conversation to human psychology: virtue, motivation, desire, or the divided self; they might understand us surprisingly well. In fact, many of the psychological insights we consider cutting-edge today were already being explored in their dialogues.

These issues are not just limited to the US. Consider David Nutt in the UK, he performed Multi‑criteria decision analysis where he ranked alcohol and tobacco as more harmful than LSD, MDMA, or cannabis (Lancet 2007; F test p < 0.001). He published his findings and stated that horseback riding caused more brain injury than ecstasy, the Home Secretary fired him and ministries withdrew related research contracts.
Academic incentives prioritize novel, flashy findings over careful, incremental science or simply trying to see if it’s possible to replicate the findings of a particular researcher. This is one reason why QBRs are such an issue in research. Journals favor "positive” results over null findings, creating strong bias toward publishing studies that find something, even if it's not real! Career advancement hinges on publication count, not research quality. This creates perverse incentives to manipulate data until statistical significance is found. Consider the example of a pharmaceutical company trying to release a new drug. Due to the high stakes and potential liabilities, they're required to have multiple independent auditors and trials to confirm the drug's effects. There are institutional checks: FDA oversight, liability law, and third-party replication; that make publishing unreliable or irreproducible findings incredibly risky. Ironically, this means that even in an industry driven by profit, there's often more methodological accountability than in academic social psychology. The absence of real-world consequences for failed replications or methodological shortcuts makes it easy for bad science to flourish in academia specifically.
Even when studies find an impact, the subjects are almost always college psychology students participating in studies conducted by their own professors for extra credit and are aware of the exact studies that they are performing in. There’s even an acronym for this over reliance on particular research participants, WEIRD:  Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, and Democratic. For example, when I attended UMASS I would often participate in game theory studies that the Economics department would have. In order to achieve significant results in game theory, subjects have to play with real money; people act and behave differently when you give them fake money; think chips at a casino. The studies would fill up fast as a result of them potentially paying well and the only real reliable way to sign up was to have a smart phone so that as soon as the email went out you could get the notification and sign up. This was the early 2010s when not everyone had a smart phone in their pocket, again creating another layer of class abstraction when it came to study subjects. In fact, this scenario was the straw that broke the camel’s back for me personally when it came to transitioning to a smart phone. The money was too good to pass up. When I did sign up for the studies, I made sure to do a literature review of whatever I thought that the professor was trying to research. I wanted to win the game and make as much money as possible because I was broke. I’ve often been told that I was an outlier in this case by other students, but was I? I consider myself a bright guy, but at UMass I wasn’t a big fish in a little bowl. I wasn't even a business student and was average by UMass academic standards. How many other students were doing something similar? 
When these students are tested, oftentimes the constructs used to measure results are vague and poorly-defined. Constructs such as such as "grit," "mindsets," "priming", "brain power" without clear operational definitions. For example, when I was doing research, we were primarily interested in the N400. The N400 is part of the normal brain response to words and other meaningful (or potentially meaningful) stimuli, including visual and auditory words, sign language signs, pictures, faces, environmental sounds, and smells… so what does it actually mean when an N400 response gets triggered? Well, that’s non-concrete and rather fuzzy. The N400 is primarily associated with semantic processing, that is, how the brain understands meaning. When a word fits well into a sentence or context, the N400 is smaller. When a word is unexpected, incongruent, or hard to integrate, the N400 is larger. The normal sentence: “She spread the warm bread with butter.” results in a Small N400 because the word makes sense. However, the incongruent sentence “She spread the warm bread with socks. Results in a large N400 response.

Why is this important? As a researcher I would tell you that the N400 shows that the brain automatically and rapidly processes meaning, even when you’re not actively trying to. It's one of the clearest examples of how neuroelectric signals reflect real-time cognitive processing. Now why is THAT important? You tell me… What I see is that absence of strong underlying theories makes replication and extension difficult and that the field of psychology, in general, often prioritizes interesting phenomena over solid, predictive models.
This over-reliance on a specific type of human subject points to a much deeper, more foundational problem. We’ve only been industrialized for less than 300 years, and we're arguably already in a post-industrial age. This brief, historically bizarre period of human existence created a new kind of person, way of thinking, and in a way... a new science to manage them. The question isn't just whether the research is relevant, but whether the entire discipline of psychology, as we know it, is a temporary tool for a temporary way of life. This is a central theme in the work of documentarian Adam Curtis. In The Century of the Self, Curtis argues that modern psychology, particularly the psychoanalytic ideas of Sigmund Freud, was co-opted by corporate and political power structures. Freud’s nephew, Edward Bernays, used these insights to invent the field of public relations, pioneering techniques to manage the irrational desires of the masses and channel them into consumerism. In this view, psychology didn’t just seek to understand the modern self; it helped to construct it - a self defined by perpetual anxiety and a constant need for fulfillment through purchasing.

This argument is reinforced by scholars like Philip Cushman in books such as Constructing the Self, Constructing America. Cushman posits that post-WWII American society cultivated an "empty self" a person disconnected from community, tradition, and shared meaning. Both psychotherapy and advertising rushed in to fill this void, promising wholeness through therapeutic intervention or the accumulation of goods. If psychology’s primary role has been to diagnose and service this historically specific, empty, consumer self, then its findings are not timeless truths about the "human mind." Instead, they are maintenance instructions for the engine of capitalism. This context makes the field's current replication crisis and subservience to market forces seem less like a recent failure and more like the inevitable outcome of its own origin story...
So where does this all leave us? If power poses work for you, then they are good enough. And while I am not a religious person, maybe not be so critical of others’ belief systems that might be a little more un-rational than your own. I think an understanding of how rationalism has been co-opted by capitalism can teach us why we should understand where the “do your own research” crowd is coming from, even if we hold them in contempt. Ultimately as it stands today, the very system of integrity has failed all of us. I think that also this helps us understand where Donald Trump is coming from when he said “If we stopped testing right now, we'd have very few cases, if any.” in relation to the Coivd pandemic in June of 2020. When everything is for sale, people getting tested for Covid rates is no different than paying a consultant to prove what you already believe, or for experts in the legal system who always find in favor of the person that hired them. 
As laypeople, what can we do? We can follow a few rules of thumb. Never trust any single person, author, or publication claiming one study "proves" anything. We should only have evidence-based faith in science, this is taught in elementary school but bares repeating: only after many studies from many different sources should we ever consider that research might be valid. It's absolutely appropriate to always be skeptical of any science. That's the point. If you're so inclined, find the original scientific article that should be well cited. Ask: Has this research been replicated by anyone without a financial incentive? What was the p-value? What perverse incentives might influence these individuals and institutions?

Ultimately, I think our culture places too much value on material wealth, fame, and ego. This problem will not get better until the institutions and societal constructs around us fundamentally change to serve something other than capital.

Monday, February 24, 2025

My Favorite Productivity Tools

Staying organized in a world full of distractions is tough, but I’ve found a way to make it work for me without losing my mind. My system is a mix of digital tools, gamification, and good old-fashioned pen and paper to keep me on track. If you’re looking for a way to stop doom scrolling and focus on getting more personal projects done, here’s how I use Habitica, Focumon, Hobonichi, Notion, and the Eisenhower Matrix to stay productive without burning out. I would also recommend checking out my previous article on utilizing RSS feeds to escape from apps with infinite scroll

The way in which I use these tools may not be the best way to go about using them, but I hope that sharing how I use them can open up new ideas for you in which you can use them. 

Habitica, formerly Habit RPG, is an app that essentially gamifies your daily to-do list. The party system helps add an additional level of personal accountability since during quests you can cause damage to the rest of your party if you fail to complete your tasks. Discord servers for individual Habitica parties over the years have led me into several communities that have persisted long past the original parties themselves, where users support and encourage each other while also holding each other accountable. If you’re struggling with motivation, having a group to check in with helps big time.

A Screenshot of an example Habitica task board
Here is what my Habitica task board has looked like in the past,
in order to give you some ideas on how to best use the tool.
(Click to enlarge)

One of the drawbacks of Habitica is that longer drawn out tasks don’t always reward you the same way that smaller tasks do. Chunking your tasks is one strategy to address this issue. You can also set the difficulty for different tasks, but the variation in rewards is not much. What I’ve found to be helpful in this case is to use the site Focumon in conjunction with Habitica. 

Focumon is like the Pomodoro Technique but gamified, breaking work into short sprints with quick breaks. This keeps me focused without turning me into a burnt out zombie. Focumon is great for deep work - writing, coding, brainstorming, cleaning, and even working on this blog. This tool works really well in conjunction with Habitica because it rewards you for much longer tasks that are difficult to chunk in a way that feels better than how Habitica handles them. Nothing in this article is promotional, and if it were, it would be clearly labeled as such. However, if you do want to start using Focumon, please add me (@Carm_GeDK) as a referral on your Community Page so that I can get some extra in-game items.

Habitica and Focumon work really well for recurring tasks that come up through the week. For appointments, deadlines, and one-off tasks: I stick to using my Hobonichi planner. The Hobonichi planner is simply a Japanese daily planner. However, in all my time using daily planners since elementary school, it's simply the best one I have used. They're compact and minimalist - which as a result makes them highly customizable. They're also incredibly high quality - which means they stay in excellent condition after a year of daily use and extensive travel. The planners do tend to be pricey, but the annual purchase price has always more than paid for itself with how organized they've kept me.

I used to use Google Calendar, but got freaked out when they started showing me specific images for my appointments. For example, my dentist appointments would should an image of a tooth and toothbrush, which meant that Google parses the information that you put into the Calendar application. While Google says that they will never use Calendar data to advertise to
you, if they are lying here, it’s not like it would be the first time they did; even if that is not the case, what's stopping them from changing their policy and retroactively parsing your data for marketing purposes in the future? They already have always done this with your email… 

Stack of previous Hobonichi planners
I've used Hobonichi planners for years now.

I’ve used Hobonichis for four years now. While I tend to use it for one-off task management, please note that the way I use it is very rigid and maybe even an unimaginative way to go about using your Hobonichi yourself. I’d recommend checking out the subreddit r/hobonichi to see all the imaginative ways in which people do use their Hobonichis. Many people, for example, use the planners for journaling and drawing.

Notion natively supports organizational tools like Kanban boards, database tables, and lots of other pre-built templates that are free. I find that Notion is the best way for me to keep track of notes over a long period of time. I do still tend to take a lot of notes with pen and paper, because note-taking is how I tend to best learn. But in Notion, I track blog post ideas I haven’t gotten to yet (since it allows me to quickly add notes on my phone or computer as new fleeting ideas come to me), as well as films and books I have yet to read, all my music lesson notes with links to class videos, questions for my instructor that arise throughout the week, and a list of new songs I want to learn or have already learned.

Notion also includes an AI tool that quickly allows you to generate all of those organizational tools efficiently. For example, you could quickly create a Kanban board with a list of all your long term project Notion pages listed. In less than a minute you can have a Kanban board that tracks all of your projects and what status they are in. (I’ll likely make a further instructional video on how to do this in the near future.) If this AI functionality is ever removed from Notion, or put behind a paywall, just about any free AI or LLM tool can do this for you with Notion, it’s frankly just convenient to have the tool available inside the application. 

Eisenhower Matrix
Eisenhower Matrix from Wikimedia Commons

The Eisenhower Matrix helps me figure out what actually matters. Prioritizing is half the battle, and applying this matrix to all my work keeps me from wasting time on low-impact distractions, and helps me focus on bigger-picture impact rather than one-off tasks. 

I didn't want to host an image of someone else's work, but here is a link to the specific Eisenhower Matrix image I have posted on my wall behind my desk.

Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Building a Better Online Experience: RSS is More Useful Than Ever

RSS Logo


Algorithm-driven content littered with advertisements, astroturfing, bots, and global tracking cookies have made RSS feeds relevant again. Repeatedly, on social media, I see users complaining about the enshitification of the Internet and that the Internet isn’t what it used to be. My answer to this complaint is that if your online experience in the 2020s is primarily via the algos, you have no place complaining about the enshitification of the Internet, because all of the content you consume already is shit. Furthermore, it’s never been easier or more accessible for anyone to create a website, estore, or to have a digital presence. In his book The Pathles Path author Paul Millard argues that “the Internet has handed people the means of production” and I agree with this sentiment: Is the internet slowly being privatized? Absolutely. Is it easier than ever before to have an estore or self publish? Absolutely. Yes, that means your estore or personal enterprise won't immediately be as successful, but that's the trade off.

As long as you are in an algo stream, you are being manipulated. This is especially evident on platforms like Facebook, where engagement is driven by content designed to provoke a strong emotional reaction, often within the first two to five posts in your feed. Social media sites like Reddit are also not immune to misinformation.
For example: here is an image that was reposted again, again, and again on Reddit the week that I started writing this post. It contains a photoshopped image of a worker being arrested by ICE while wearing a Latinos For Trump shirt. Today most of the top comments point out that the image was fake, this was not the case on the day that the image repeatedly made it to the front page of the website.
 

A fake photoshopped imaged of a Latinos For Trump Supporter Being Arrested 
 
RSS (Really Simple Syndication) will allow you to have a stream of news and information similar to your Reddit feed, Facebook feed, and whatever other social media sites that you’re stuck with using. The difference is that your RSS feed will be built by you outside of the ecosystem of any one website. Instead of being based on any algorithm, your feed instead will be based on how recent the content is - if that's how you configure your feed to work for you in the first place. What I am getting at is that using an RSS reader is one way in which you can unenshitify your Internet experience.

Over the past few months I found that as I fell back on more smaller dedicated communities, resources, and websites; my time online is a lot more engaging and interesting. In a recent interview, Mark Zuckerberg reflected a similar sentiment in his recent Joe Rogan Interview about 37 minutes in. My warning when engaging in smaller online comunities is to make sure that you don’t fall into an echo chamber. A good way to avoid this pitfall is to keep in mind that if you find yourself agreeing with everything that a person says, that person is probably swindling you. Subscribe to and keep an eye on media that you are skeptical of and feel like you should keep an eye on, but be sure to prioritize your mental health first. Also, focus creating online communities of people you already know: bring together your friends and neighbors into group chats and Discord channels. Build connections.

I personally use a reader called Feedly, but I'm open to other RSS readers if anyone suggests one that works better for them. Open RSS seems to have a similar ethos to what I am expressing here. Below are some examples of things that you can plug into an RSS reader to inspire you. Many of these services can just be added to your RSS reader app by searching for them in the app without having to follow the below steps.

News:

I follow aggregate tech news sites Slashdot and Boing Boing, making my own RSS feed an aggregate of aggregates in a way. Furthermore, it's going to be important to follow individual writers and contributors as legacy media continues to fail and decline in quality. I suggest following 
Ken Klipinstein on Substack. Every Substack newsletter has an RSS feed that allows users to subscribe without needing an email address that can be accessed by adding /feed at the end of the URL.

NPR Podcasts also have RSS feeds, which can be accessed on the NPR website's podcast pages themselves:

Screen shot of NPR's RSS button


In most RSS readers you can also set keyword filters for you name, company, revelant topics you are interested in, etc.

Sports:

I follow RSS for specific teams that give me news updates for example:
https://www.pff.com/pff-rss

Blogs:
Bruce Schneier is a leading cybersecurity expert, cryptographer, and author who writes about digital security, privacy, and government surveillance.
Here is the RSS link for his blog.

I am now dedicated to operating an RSS feed for this site.
Here is the RSS link for this blog.


Messaging:
Many RSS readers will now follow Telegram and Signal channels. This can be helpful when you follow someone on one of these apps and it's how they primarily get news and updates out.

Podcasts:
Usually, at least one of the streaming platforms that distributes podcasts you listen to will natively be supported by the RSS reader of your choice.

Youtube:
The Subscribe feature on Youtube notoriously does not work.
You might miss out on new content or live streams from your favorite YouTubers simply because their latest video never appears on your subscription page, or you don’t receive a notification. Many RSS Readers will natively support Youtube channels just by you providing the URL to the Youtube channels that you want to follow.

Steam feeds:
The news page for any game on Steam has a link for an RSS feed. This allows you to get patch updates for games directly in your feed.

Screenshot of Helldivers 2 RSS Updates on Steam

GitHub Release Feeds:
Repo releases:
https://github.com/:owner/:repo/releases.atom
 
Repo commits:
https://github.com/:owner/:repo/commits.atom
 
Private feed:
You can find Subscribe to your news feed in dashboard page after login
https://github.com/:user.private.atom?token=:secret

Repo tags:
https://github.com/:user/:repo/tags.atom

User activity
https://github.com/:user.atom

Open RSS also provides Github RSS feeds:
https://openrss.org/blog/github-rss-feeds

Weather:
The National Weather Service offers weather updates via RSS. For example here is the RSS feed for Albany:
https://www.weather.gov/rss_page.php?site_name=aly

Saturday, January 4, 2025

What I've Read in The Second Half of 2024

 Inner Gold - Robert Johnson

Inner Gold is an  exploration of the concept of psychological projection; where individuals attribute their own thoughts, feelings, and traits to others. Rather than use projection in a negative way, as it usually is in today’s discourse, Johnson talks about how we will project positive aspects of ourselves onto others that we ourselves are unable to handle. Johnson uses Jungian psychology to explain how recognizing and reclaiming these projected elements can lead to personal growth and deeper self-awareness. The book is pretty brief but deeply insightful; it makes complex psychological concepts accessible and practical for readers seeking self-improvement and a better understanding of their inner selves. I highly recommend this book out of everything I read over the past six months.

Earth To Moon - Moon Zappa


Moon’s memoir paints a whole new side of Frank Zappa that is missing from public perception and will change what his legacy is. Moon discusses growing up and how her father was largely absent between his touring and obsession with writing music, and her mother who was a full blown narcissist.

I grew up in a household EXACTLY like what is described in that book; one narcissist parent and one checked out parent while being the oldest child of three. I was told life's not fair when my parents were cruel, I was responsible for raising my siblings, taking care of my parents emotionally, and was shamed for not prioritizing anyone in the family before myself. It's uncanny how similar my experience is to what I read in this book. The twist is that I read Frank Zappa's autobiography multiple times as a teenager. I loved the chapter about him being a parent because he sounded so reasonable and down to earth. I wished that I lived in the household he described in that book. I guess Moon does too...

Something that stood out to me before reading this book is that Moon did an interview on Mark Maron’s podcast. Around the 1:01:13 timestamp Moon talks about this dipshit LA yoga anatomy class where they get cadavers donated to science so that they can pick up and handle the organs, and then immediately talk about going to Burning Man. After hearing about this yoga class I got unenrolled from being an organ donor in California.

Batman: White Knight - Sean Murphy


I made a mistake by reading this graphic novel / comic, the mistake being not to take reading recommendations from Reddit. Users there said that this series put the Batman / Joker dynamic on its head by making Batman the bad guy and the Joker the good guy. This really isn't the case and there wasn’t much in this series for me: the story is geared towards adolescents. I liked some of the art but a lot of the plot points felt like they were taken out of a scenario a  group of kids came up with while playing in their backyard. A major plot point is that there are giant transportation tunnels under Gotham City that no one know about even though an army of workers was brought in to make these giant tunnels. Bruce Wayne’s father is shown to have done business with the Nazis but Bruce is not aware of this probably because of how Batman could be portrayed. Black Lives Matters is portrayed as a media manipulation rather than a grassroots movement.

I would instead recommend The Dark Knight Returns, animated by Frank Miller which depicts a Bruce Wayne who is aging out of the Batman role or The Killing Joke.

Fast Food Nation - Eric Schlosser

I first read this book in high school, I borrowed it from a friend’s house after I saw it sitting on a bookcase in their basement, and I forgot how much of an impact this book had on me. The investigation around Colorado Springs helped me understand that while growing up in Springfield Massachusetts did kinda suck, there were plenty of other places in America that were a ‘whole lot worse; that the stroads with Mcdonalds, Wendy’s, and Taco Bell were strategically planned.

Fast Food Nation is still a really good book. While it tries to end on a high note, it hurts to think how much worse off the US is when it comes to health, labor, and the wealth of its working class people. While I came back to this book to remind myself why I need to curb some unhealthy eating habits that I picked up during lockdown, I was surprised at how much of a contemporary realistic American slice-of-life book this is. In terms of eating, I remember my takeaways from this book being that pink ground beef is such much more worse for you because almost all of the bacteria in the meat is introduced during the processing process and that one fast food hamburger can include the meat from a dozen to hundreds of different cows. It’s a beef slurry patty.

The finer details is that ecoli is caused by feces. When you get bad food poisoning because of eating undercooked beef, it’s because there is either shit in your meat, or the cows themselves were living in shit before they were slaughtered. When you get food poisoning from veggies, it's because the vegetables grew downstream from a meat processing plant, and absorbed ecoli from runoff water from the plant. The symptoms of poisoning from ecoli in adults can include shitting and pissing blood, and it’s even more dangerous for children. There is a sentence in the book that says “the spillage rate at the gut table can be twenty percent”. Meaning that when they remove the intestines from the cows in the slaughterhouse, the insides of the intestines spills out onto the carcasses of 1 out of 5 of the other cows.

Because of this book I tend to eat a lot more poultry and fish though I know that industrial farming for birds and fish are not great either. I try to buy all my beef farm-direct. I love hamburgers, but it’s hard to get someone to sometimes understand why I won’t eat it if it’s pink inside. In high school, after reading this book, I ate a hamburger from Texas Roadhouse and even though I ordered it medium, it was all pink inside and delicious. I figured that 1) Texas Roadhouse was probably quality and 2) I was too chickenshit to send it back and that first bite was so good. I got more sick than I’ve ever been from food again. I didn’t shit or piss blood but for years the thought of the smell of Texas roadhouse turned my stomach upside down, our family went back some time after and I just ate the rolls and peanuts. Years later I’m standing at Benders in San Francisco ordering food. I order a medium burger (the sign said local grass-fed beef, who knows for sure though) and the guy in an English accent says “why do you do that to yourself? We grind the meat ourselves”. I guess he knew what I was talking about, but I couldn’t roll the dice anymore than I already was by ordering ground beef.

The TB12 Method - Tom Brady

After having spent the last few years focusing on weight lifting instead of cardio, I was finding that despite going to yoga classes and stretching regularly before and after exercise, I was more stiff that usual. Reading this book helped me understand that by making my muscles more dense and big I had optimized my muscles in a way that really didn’t accomplish what I wanted to do when distance running. I can now see how Brady’s concept of pliability plays into orchestrating your body’s physical health and it’s something that I am still working into my daily workout routines.

This is a really great book for anyone who invests in their health and body. Granted some of the habits and advice given is likely more suited for an adolescent than an adult. Some suggestions were interesting: Brady advocates for a plant based fiber rich diet and that Brady recommends sleeping in “bio-ceramic” sleepwear (also called recovery wear) and says that he is trying to figure out how to wear it all the time.

There are some great recipes in this book as well as suggested resistance training exercises that you can do yourself. It’s mostly basic exercises with resistance bands. Practicing pliability fully requires working often with a trainer who is trained in it, which I think is out of reach for most people in terms of both cost and logistics.

Cult of The Dead Cow - Joseph Mann

Cult of The Dead Cow is a written history of the eponymous hacking group. I voraciously read a lot of the text files they had posted when I was a teenager and the book describing the CDC as a labyrinth is right on the nose. This book revealed that Beto O’rouke was a member of CDC, though he was more of a creative writer than a hacker. It also revealed that the federal government used the CDC remote access tool BackOriface in international operations.

Just like how the book It Came From Something Awful draws a straight line from Rich Kyanka creating Something Awful to Donald Trump getting elected president, this book draws a straight line from the Grateful Dead to the existence of this hacking group - whose members would go on to proliferate in just about every major tech company. The member Mudge is now the CIO of DARPA. One member contributed heavily to Windows XP Service Pack 2 (maybe in 2024 that doesn’t sound like a big deal, but it was at the time. Windows XP was an awful product before SP2). The group's name may sound funny, but their existence has more than one fingerprint on the lives of anyone who has ever accessed the Internet. Funnily enough, you could consider this book a prequel to both It Came From Something Awful and Mindfuck.

WizzyWig - Ed Piskor

The titular character, as well as the story in general, is a composite of hackers throughout computer history. I would recommend reading Accidental Empires, or The Art of Deception instead of this. I had read the first volume of this comic when Boing Boing posted about it sometime in the early 2010s. I was looking forward to reading the remaining volumes of this comic when they came out, but I never got around to them when they eventually came out as life caught up with me.

With the recent news of Ed Piskor killing himself after being accused of sexual misconduct, I figured I might as well put a pin in this series as I was interested to see the direction the story went. The story in the book exaggerates injustices against real life hacker Kevin Mitnick that don’t need to be embellished. The only humor in the book is really just being crude for the sake of being crude. I don’t really find floppy dicks compelling, especially if they don’t have any relation to the story. If you’re interested in learning about hackers I would recommend just sticking to primary sources, there’s plenty of talks that Mitnick himself gave and plenty of recordings of the Off The Wall radio program out there. There’s nothing new or interesting in this book unfortunately.

Snow Crash - Neal Stephenson

As a cyberpunk book, Snow Crash does what Neuromancer did when it came to predicting the direction of computer technology is/was heading, but in a more contemporary way than Neuromancer. The book at times is a little too edgy, the way that Stephenson writes a teenage female protagonist in the face of the threat of sexual assault is cringe. However, I genuinely think that Snow Crash is a seminal work that defines and influenced the way we think about the internet and virtual reality today. The way that Stephenson weaves Sumerian history and lore into the story offers insight into bronze age influence on language, philosophy, and our myths that exist today without the usual interference of Abrahamic religions.


The Parable of The Sower - Olivia Butler

I read this book after Snow Crash, I had mentioned to a coworker that I was so surprised at how well Neuromancer and Snow Crash predicted the current state and direction of computer technology; I wanted to find an even more recent cyberpunk book that would continue to do the same thing. He recommended this book… The Parable of The Sower is not that book. After the first 100 pages, I was of the mind that The Parable of The Sower is post apocalyptic young adult fiction for the children of people who donate to NPR. I was getting the impression that the book was very derivative; it wasn’t until I looked at the publishing page of this book and saw that it was written in 1993. The reality of the situation is that this book was ahead of its time and all post-apocalyptic fiction after it has borrowed from it either directly or indirectly. As a result I would put this book at the top of my post-apocalyptic fiction recommendations, over Alas Babylon and The Road.

Sunday, October 13, 2024

Polls are a 20th century tool in the 21st century

    In the information age you cannot honestly get a representative polling sample of anything other than "people who are willing to take surveys". People who take surveys are weird. I know this because I take surveys. And after college the only job I was able to get was to sit in an Abt SRBI call center in Hadley Massachusetts where I had to conduct Pew Research surveys asking women about their pap smears; the more honest answer as to why I take surveys is that I have a penance to pay.

    Accuse me of using the availability heuristic. Having worked in a research call center, I can tell you that the people who take these surveys are not reflective of average Americans. They are people who still have a landline phone. They are the people who are so lonely, bored, and senile that they will send thousands of dollars in Google Play gift cards to scammers with foreign accents. They will talk to anybody that will listen. You'll save more lives doing survey calls than you will working the crisis line, believe me, I've done that job too. 

    In the 21st century some surveys are still only conducted on landlines as a way to guarantee that the person that is being rang is physically in the place that they are being surveyed. Think of all the people you know that have a landline and actually answer it. All of the people you know that's had a Nelson Box in their house. Do those people, even if you actually even know any, reflect an accurate sampling of America?

     The second cohort of data you're getting in your polling is bad actors. There's nothing stopping an individual from using tools like Selenium and Beautiful Soup in conjunction the Chat GPT API to automatically fill out surveys online. Heck, you can do the same exact thing on phone lines. Here's a quick example I whipped up using an AI vendor:



For what it's worth, I time-boxed for myself an hour to configure and coach the LLM as well as record the audio. With a little more time this LLM could do much better. This kind of work is literally not worth any one individual's time outside of tinkering. But if someone has a vested interest in manipulating polls? This is money on the table.

   While individual bad actors do exist, they typically represent a smaller portion of the overall sample. It wasn't unusual for someone on the phone to respond to your questions while being completely unserious or dismissive. I remember an older colleague once sharing a story about how "sometimes you just do what you have to do to get the job done", which ended with her telling me about a time where she got a guy to finish a whole survey even though she could tell that he was pleasuring himself on the call. The most you could hope for is to note that the survey taker was disingenuous or likely messing with you, but that was it. It wasn't the survey taker's jobs to triage the data, however when's the last time you saw a public election poll that listed the sample size and notes on why certain responses were excluded from the data?

    The absence of clear information about research methodologies in most election polls suggests that these polls are more of a media-driven product designed for public consumption than a reliable source of objective data. This lack of transparency turns polls into a form of entertainment or narrative shaping, where their primary function may be to engage audiences, influence perceptions, or reinforce certain viewpoints, rather than to provide rigorous and unbiased insights into voter behavior.

Further Reading: The Problem with polls.